22 March 2014

***** Defense Planning for National Security: Navigation Aids for the Mystery Tour

Defense Planning for National Security: Navigation Aids for the Mystery Tour
Authored by Dr. Colin S. Gray.
Added March 19, 2014 
Type: Monograph 
76 Pages 
Download Format: PDF
Cost: Free 
Brief Synopsis

The challenge that is defense planning includes: "educated futurology" and the humanities as methodological approaches; futurists and scenarios, trend spotting and defense analysis; the impossibility of science in studying the future; the impossibility of verification by empirical testing of hypotheses; the value of the humanities which are politics, strategy, and history for defense planning; the use and misuse of analogy; learning from history; why and how strategic history works; and recommendations for the Army. What can be learned from history and what cannot are discussed in this analysis.

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