13 November 2018

EU Scenarios for 2017

Author Antonio Estella

In this paper, Antonio Estella reflects on the future of the European Union and outlines possible scenarios on what the EU could look like in 2027. He argues that the EU's future will be determined by four major variables: 1) enlargement, 2) economic growth, 3) immigration, and 4) exit(s). Because three of these variables play against integration, Estella contends that the EU will definitely demonstrate a tendency towards disintegration within the next 10 years.

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